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Oscar Predictions in the 89th Academy Awards

Best Picture
Arrival 5%
Hacksaw Ridge 0%
Fences 0%
Hell or High Water 0%
La La Land 90%
Lion 0%
Manchester by the Sea 5%
Moonlight 0%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Picture
First Forecasts Best Picture (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Picture (6 Months Ago)





Best Actor
Casey Affleck in Manchester by the Sea 50%
Andrew Gardfield in Hacksaw Ridge 10%
Ryan Gosling in La La Land 20%
Viggo Mortensen in Captain Fantastic 0%
Denzel Washington in Fences 20%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Actor
First Forecasts Best Actor (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Actor (6 Months Ago)





Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert in Elle 20%
Ruth Negga in Loving 20%
Natalie Portman in Jackie 15%
Emma Stone in La La Land 35%
Meryl Streep in Florence Foster Jenkins 10%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Actress
First Forecasts Best Actress (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Actress (6 Months Ago)





Best Director
Denis Villeneuve for Arrival 5%
Mel Gibson for Hacksaw Ridge 0%
Damien Chazelle for La La Land 705
Kenneth Lonergan for Manchester by the Sea 25%
Barry Jenkins for Moonlight 0%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Director
First Forecasts Best Director (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Director (6 Months Ago)





Best Actor in Supporting Role
Mahershala Ali in Moonlight 70%
Jeff Bridges in Hell or High Water 0%
Lucas Hedges in Manchester by the Sea 20%
Dev Patel in Lion 10%
Michael Shannon Nocturnal Animals 0%


Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Actor in a Supporting Role
First Forecasts Best Actor in a Supporting Role (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Actor in a Supporting Role (6 Months Ago)





Best Actress in Supporting Role
Viola Davis in Fences 80%
Naomie Harris in Moonlight 10%
Nicole Kidman in Lion 10%
Octavia Spencer in Hidden Figures 0%
Michelle Williams in Manchester by the Sea 0%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Actress in a Supporting Role
First Forecasts Best Actress in a Supporting Role (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Actress in a Supporting Role (6 Months Ago)





Best Animated Picture
Kubo and the Two Strings 40%
Moana 5%
My Life as a Courgette 5%
La tortue rouge 0%
Zootopia 50%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Animated Picture
First Forecasts Best Animated Picture (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Animated Picture (6 Months Ago)





Best Foreign Language Film
Land of Mine 5%
A Man Called Ove 5%
The Salesman 10%
Tanna 10%
Toni Erdmann 70%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Foreign Language Film
First Forecasts Best Foreign Language Film (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Foreign Language Film (6 Months Ago)





Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival 20%
Fences 20%
Hidden Figures 5%
Lion 5%
Moonlight 50%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Adapted Screenplay
First Forecasts Best Adapted Screenplay (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Adapted Screenplay (6 Months Ago)





Best Original Screenplay
Hell or High Water 0%
La La Land 30%
The Lobster 0%
Manchester by the Sea 70%
20th Century Woman 0%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Original Screenplay
First Forecasts Best Original Screenplay (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Original Screenplay (6 Months Ago)





Best Art Direction
Arrival 5%
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 40%
Hail, Caesar! 0%
La La Land 50%
Passengers 5%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Art Direction
First Forecasts Best Art Direction (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Art Direction (6 Months Ago)





Best Cinematography
Arrival 5%
La La Land 80%
Lion 5%
Moonlight 5%
Silence 5%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Cinematography
First Forecasts Best Cinematography (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Cinematography (6 Months Ago)





Best Costume Design
Allied 20%
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 40%
Florence Foster Jenkins 20%
Jackie 20%
La La Land 0%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Costume Design
First Forecasts Best Costume Design (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Costume Design (6 Months Ago)





Best Film Editing
Arrival 20%
Hacksaw Ridge 0%
Hell or High Water 0%
La La Land 50%
Moonlight 30%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Film Editing
First Forecasts Best Film Editing (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Film Editing (6 Months Ago)


Best Makeup



Best Makeup
A Man Called Ove 20%
Star Trek Beyond 50%
Suicide Squad 30%


Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Makeup
First Forecasts Best Makeup (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Makeup (6 Months Ago)





Best Score
Jackie 10%
La La Land 80%
Lion 10%
Moonlight 0%
Passengers 0%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Score
First Forecasts Best Score (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Score (6 Months Ago)





Best Original Song
La La Land 50%
Trolls 0%
La La Land 50%
The James Foley Story 0%
Moana 0%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Original Song
First Forecasts Best Original Song (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Original Song (6 Months Ago)





Best Sound Mixing
Arrival 5%
Hacksaw Ridge 10%
La La Land 50%
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 20%
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi 15%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Sound Mixing
First Forecasts Best Sound Mixing (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Sound Mixing (6 Months Ago)





Best Sound
Arrival 15%
Deepwater Horizon 0%
Hacksaw Ridge 10%
La La Land 70%
Sully 5%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Sound Editing
First Forecasts Best Sound Editing (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Sound Editing (6 Months Ago)





Best Visual Effects
Deepwater Horizon 5%
Doctor Strange 5%
The Jungle Book 80%
Kubo and the Two Strings 5%
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 10%

Oscar Prediction 2017 Best Visual Effects
First Forecasts Best Visual Effects (3 Months Ago)
First Forecasts Best Visual Effects (6 Months Ago)








Oscars Prediction 2016                 Oscars Forecast 2017

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